Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.192009 0.214522 0.237917 0.263988 0.292173 0.321667 0.354809
2025-01-19 0.160391 0.190871 0.224014 0.262542 0.305903 0.353003 0.407836
2025-01-26 0.139597 0.175499 0.216084 0.264958 0.321800 0.385408 0.461540
2025-02-02 0.126510 0.166944 0.214226 0.272906 0.343051 0.423488 0.521943
2025-02-09 0.112607 0.155687 0.207713 0.274117 0.355516 0.450941 0.570087
2025-02-16 0.102450 0.147848 0.204301 0.278186 0.370782 0.481425 0.621948
2025-02-23 0.096108 0.144116 0.205385 0.287344 0.392030 0.519165 0.682965
2025-03-02 0.086043 0.134477 0.198026 0.285015 0.398339 0.538278 0.721221
2025-03-09 0.078254 0.127184 0.193068 0.285186 0.407367 0.560522 0.763360
2025-03-16 0.070836 0.119723 0.187262 0.283669 0.413772 0.579207 0.801021
2025-03-23 0.066633 0.116516 0.186971 0.289325 0.429480 0.609832 0.854117
2025-03-30 0.061455 0.111396 0.183588 0.290393 0.438838 0.632186 0.896771
2025-04-06 0.056222 0.105954 0.179651 0.290802 0.447716 0.654675 0.940894
2025-04-13 0.050973 0.100023 0.174586 0.289262 0.453702 0.673312 0.980207
2025-04-20 0.047293 0.096301 0.172545 0.291872 0.465369 0.699629 1.029985
2025-04-27 0.045363 0.095321 0.174574 0.300428 0.485519 0.737688 1.095945
2025-05-04 0.041948 0.091485 0.171886 0.301733 0.495221 0.761545 1.143106
2025-05-11 0.039488 0.089103 0.171315 0.306111 0.509333 0.791596 1.198988
2025-05-18 0.038324 0.088955 0.174296 0.315957 0.531555 0.833196 1.271138
2025-05-25 0.034874 0.084253 0.169501 0.313453 0.535409 0.849053 1.308102
2025-06-01 0.032211 0.080792 0.166545 0.313638 0.543130 0.870350 1.352739
2025-06-08 0.029467 0.076900 0.162599 0.312007 0.547955 0.887476 1.391680
2025-06-15 0.028176 0.075817 0.163438 0.318087 0.564546 0.921626 1.454804